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Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Evidence synthesis · Intervention review

Tirzepatide in type 2 diabetes mellitus: effect on the anchor outcome

In the population defined for type 2 diabetes mellitus, what is the effect of Tirzepatide compared with the comparator used in its contributing trials on the anchor outcome for this indication?

Document identifier
CEI-ES-041
Series
Evidence synthesis
Version
1.2
Published
02 Jun 2026
Last reviewed
02 Jun 2026
Next review
02 Dec 2027
Identifier
10.71829/cei.syn.41
Certainty
High
Cycle
2026 Q2
Review type
Intervention review
Search executed
28 Mar 2026

Templated review frame. This review question was generated by crossing an indication with a compound for which contributing trials exist. Its prose frame is templated and is shared with other questions of the same shape. Its included studies, its summary of findings and its certainty rating are computed from the underlying records and are not templated. The Institute publishes these questions because the alternative is to leave a question the document set can answer unanswered, and it labels them because the alternative is to present a templated frame as an authored one.

§1Abstract

§1.1Review question

In the population defined for type 2 diabetes mellitus, what is the effect of Tirzepatide compared with the comparator used in its contributing trials on the anchor outcome for this indication?

§1.2PICO frame

Table 1. The registered PICO frame. Any change made after protocol registration is recorded in the amendment log at §5 and is identified there as post hoc.

ElementAs registered
PopulationA disorder of glucose regulation characterised by insulin resistance with relative insulin deficiency, diagnosed by glycated haemoglobin, fasting plasma glucose or oral glucose tolerance criteria.
InterventionTirzepatide administered as subcutaneous once weekly.
ComparatorThe comparator used in each contributing trial, reported per trial rather than pooled across comparator types.
OutcomesAnchor outcome for this indication: Change in HbA1c (%, mmol/mol). Additional outcomes: Proportion achieving HbA1c <7.0 % and ≤6.5 %; Change in fasting serum glucose; Change in body weight.

§1.3Method in brief

A review of the effects of an intervention on pre-specified outcomes, with a quantitative synthesis where the contributing studies are sufficiently similar. The protocol was registered with the Institute's secretariat before the search was executed. The search was run on 28 March 2026 across 8 sources and is reproduced in full at §2. Screening, extraction and certainty assessment were performed independently by two members of the secretariat with disagreement resolved by a third.[1,2]

§1.4Conclusion

High certainty evidence from 7 contributing trials bears on the effect of Tirzepatide on the anchor outcome for type 2 diabetes mellitus. The estimate the Institute carries in the monograph is: −1.87 to −2.59 % HbA1c across doses and backgrounds; superior to semaglutide 1.0 mg, insulin degludec and insulin glargine. Five-trial programme with active comparators throughout, an unusually strong design feature.

The conclusion rests on 7 contributing studies, listed with their extracted data at §3 and summarised outcome by outcome at §4.

§1.5Limitations

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. Jastreboff AM, Aronne LJ, Ahmad NN, Wharton S, Connery L, Alves B, Kiyosue A, Zhang S, Liu B, Bunck MC, Stefanski A. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity. New England Journal of Medicine 2022;387(3):205–216. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2206038 · PMID 35658024
  2. Garvey WT, Frias JP, Jastreboff AM, le Roux CW, Sattar N, Aizenberg D, Mao H, Zhang S, Ahmad NN, Bunck MC, Benabbad I, Zhang XM. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity in people with type 2 diabetes (SURMOUNT-2): a double-blind, randomised, multicentre, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial. The Lancet 2023;402(10402):613–626. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01200-X · PMID 37385275

Identifiers are reproduced only where the Institute holds them. Where a digital object identifier or PubMed identifier is not shown, the Institute has recorded the journal and year and has not constructed an identifier.

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