Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Methodological standard · §6

CEI-MS-06 — worked example

A worked calculation, and an illustrative mass balance showing what a purity figure alone does not establish.

Document identifier
CEI-MS-06/6
Series
Methodological standard
Version
1.0
Published
22 Apr 2023
Last reviewed
22 Oct 2023
Next review
22 Oct 2026
Identifier
10.71829/cei.meth.6
Certainty
High
Cycle
2023 Q2
Category
Microbiological quality

§6Worked example

§6.1Worked example — sample numbers and the limits of the inference

  1. A batch of 400 vials of a lyophilised peptide is to be tested. The pharmacopoeial table specifies, for a batch of more than 200 containers, testing of 2 % of the batch or 20 containers, whichever is the lesser: 2 % of 400 is 8, so 8 containers are tested.
  2. Suppose the batch has a true contamination rate of 1 %, that is 4 contaminated vials in 400. The probability that a given tested vial is uncontaminated is 0.99, so the probability that all 8 tested vials are uncontaminated is 0.99⁸ = 0.923.
  3. The test therefore has a 92 % chance of passing a batch that contains four contaminated vials.
  4. This is not a criticism of the pharmacopoeial method, which is designed to be used alongside process validation and aseptic-process simulation rather than as a standalone release criterion. It is, however, the reason the Institute states that a sterility result on a research-supply batch — where no process validation exists to accompany it — provides much weaker assurance than the words "sterility test: complies" suggest.

§6.2Illustrative mass balance

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. United States Pharmacopeial Convention. General Chapter ⟨71⟩ Sterility Tests. United States Pharmacopeia — National Formulary (USP–NF) 2024;USP 2024 Issue 1. identifier not held by the Institute
  2. United States Pharmacopeial Convention. General Chapter ⟨85⟩ Bacterial Endotoxins Test. United States Pharmacopeia — National Formulary (USP–NF) 2024;USP 2024 Issue 1. identifier not held by the Institute

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