Draft methodology document, version 4 — submissions
The 21 submissions received, published in full with declared interests and secretariat responses.
§2Submissions and responses
21 submissions were received. Each is published in full below with its declared interest, the secretariat response and the disposition. The Institute publishes submissions it did not accept in the same form as those it did.
A superseded version should remain reachable from the version that replaced it
The respondent states that the draft supersedes an earlier document and that a reader who cited the earlier version has no way to reach it from the new one, which makes it impossible to see what changed.
The respondent asks that every version carry a link both to what it supersedes and to what supersedes it.
The secretariat notes this submission. The corrections and versioning policy already requires bidirectional version links and every superseded document is retained at its own address.
No amendment arises. The requirement is stated in the corrections and versioning policy and the amendment log of this document links to the version it replaced. The respondent is correct that the link was absent from the draft page furnished for consultation, which was a defect of the consultation copy and not of the policy.
The same concept is given three different names in one document
The draft refers to the same quantity as a response rate, a responder proportion and a categorical outcome in different sections. The respondent, who works in health-technology assessment, states that a reader cannot tell whether the three refer to one thing or to three.
The respondent proposes that the glossary term be used at every occurrence and that the glossary entry be linked at first use in each section rather than only at first use in the document.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The variation was stylistic and its cost to the reader exceeds any benefit.
A single term is now used throughout for each defined concept, and the glossary entry is linked at first use within each section rather than once per document.
The document should not describe uses outside the approved indication
The submission is made on behalf of a marketing-authorisation holder. It states that the draft describes uses of the compound that fall outside the approved indication, that such uses are not supported by the sponsor, and that describing them may be read as legitimising them.
The sponsor asks that the sections concerned be removed, or in the alternative that they carry a prominent statement that the sponsor does not support such use.
The secretariat does not accept this submission. The Institute records what is supplied and what is used, because a reader encountering a compound outside a regulated route is the reader most in need of an assessment of the evidence for it.
The sections remain. Every such section already states the regulatory status of the use described and states that the evidence for it is assessed separately from the evidence for the approved indication. The submission is published in full and identified as an industry submission.
It is not clear which provisions bind the assessment committee
The respondent states that the document mixes requirements with descriptions of current practice in the same voice, so that a reader cannot tell which departures would be a breach and which would be a change of habit.
The respondent proposes that binding provisions be distinguished typographically and listed.
The secretariat accepts this submission. A rule indistinguishable from a description is not enforceable and does not reassure.
Binding provisions are now stated in a fixed form, are listed together in an annex, and a departure from any of them must be recorded in the document it affects with the reason, while descriptive passages are marked as descriptions of practice.
Preprints and conference abstracts are excluded categorically
The respondent states that a categorical exclusion removes results that are sometimes the only ones available, and that the reason for excluding them, absence of peer review, is a matter of degree rather than a category.
The respondent proposes that they be included with a downgrade.
The secretariat accepts this submission in part. Such sources are identified and reported and may inform an assessment. They do not contribute to a pooled estimate, because the reporting is generally insufficient for risk-of-bias assessment.
Preprints and conference abstracts are now screened, listed and reported as a distinct evidence class with their status stated, contribute to the narrative assessment, and are excluded from pooled estimates with the reason recorded rather than excluded at screening.
The rating conflates absence of evidence with conflicting evidence
The framework applies a single very low certainty rating to two situations a reader will act on differently. In the first, several studies exist and disagree. In the second, no study exists at all. The same badge in both places gives the same signal for two different states of knowledge.
The respondent proposes that the rating be accompanied by a standing formulation identifying which of the two applies, identical wherever it appears so that it can be recognised at a glance.
The secretariat accepts this submission in full. The distinction is real, it is decision-relevant, and the draft did not make it.
A standing formulation has been adopted and is applied to every low and very low certainty rating in the document set. The rating scale itself is unchanged, so that Institute ratings remain readable against published assessments using the same scale.
The document should state what a reader ought to do
The draft assesses evidence and stops. The respondent, a practising clinician, states that a reader arriving at the document with a decision to make is left to convert an assessment into an action without help, and proposes that each document close with a recommendation.
The respondent argues that other evidence bodies issue recommendations and that declining to do so transfers the difficult part of the work to the reader.
The secretariat does not accept this submission, and records that the point is a reasonable one rather than a misunderstanding.
The Institute assesses evidence and does not issue recommendations, because a recommendation embeds values and a resource context that the Institute does not hold and cannot state. That constitutional limit is published on the methodology page and is not varied by consultation. The submission remains published in full.
A superseded version should remain reachable from the version that replaced it
The respondent states that the draft supersedes an earlier document and that a reader who cited the earlier version has no way to reach it from the new one, which makes it impossible to see what changed.
The respondent asks that every version carry a link both to what it supersedes and to what supersedes it.
The secretariat notes this submission. The corrections and versioning policy already requires bidirectional version links and every superseded document is retained at its own address.
No amendment arises. The requirement is stated in the corrections and versioning policy and the amendment log of this document links to the version it replaced. The respondent is correct that the link was absent from the draft page furnished for consultation, which was a defect of the consultation copy and not of the policy.
The document set should be published in translation
The respondent notes that the assessments concern compounds supplied internationally and that publishing only in English restricts access to the assessment to readers who work in it.
The respondent proposes machine translation of the document set as an interim measure, with human review of the certainty language.
The secretariat does not accept this submission, and records that the underlying point is sound and that the proposed remedy is the difficulty.
A translation whose certainty language has drifted is a different assessment carrying the Institute's name, and the Institute cannot review translations it does not have the capacity to review. The documents remain in English. The submission is published in full because the access problem it identifies is real and unresolved.
The document is unreadable without specialist training
The respondent, a trustee of a patient organisation, states that the draft is written for a reader who already understands certainty grading, and that the people most affected by the subject matter will not reach the assessment at all.
The respondent proposes a plain-language summary at the head of every document, written to the same standard of accuracy as the document itself and not as a promotional abstract.
The secretariat accepts this submission in part. A plain-language summary is added. The proposal that it replace the technical abstract is declined, because the abstract is the part of the document other assessors read and cite.
Every document now opens with a plain-language summary of not more than 150 words, placed above the technical abstract and carrying the same certainty language, so that the two cannot diverge.
References should carry a persistent identifier for every cited source
Several references in the draft carry a journal, a year and a volume but no persistent identifier. The respondent, who works in a library setting, states that retrieval of such a reference is materially slower and that identifiers should be supplied throughout.
The respondent asks in the alternative that where an identifier exists but is not carried, the omission be explained rather than left as a gap the reader must interpret.
The secretariat accepts the second limb of this submission and declines the first. Identifiers are supplied wherever the Institute holds one. Where the Institute does not hold an identifier it will not supply one, because a reconstructed identifier that resolves to the wrong record is a worse defect than an absent one.
Every reference without a persistent identifier now carries an explicit statement that the identifier is not held by the Institute, so that its absence is a recorded fact rather than an apparent oversight.
The same concept is given three different names in one document
The draft refers to the same quantity as a response rate, a responder proportion and a categorical outcome in different sections. The respondent, who works in health-technology assessment, states that a reader cannot tell whether the three refer to one thing or to three.
The respondent proposes that the glossary term be used at every occurrence and that the glossary entry be linked at first use in each section rather than only at first use in the document.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The variation was stylistic and its cost to the reader exceeds any benefit.
A single term is now used throughout for each defined concept, and the glossary entry is linked at first use within each section rather than once per document.
Screening is described in terms that two people would apply differently
The respondent states that the screening criteria in the draft use terms such as clinically relevant without definition, and that agreement between screeners is not measured or reported.
The respondent proposes that criteria be operationalised and that agreement be measured and published.
The secretariat accepts this submission. A screening decision that cannot be reproduced is a decision the reader cannot check.
Screening criteria are now operationalised as tests that can be applied without further judgement, screening is performed in duplicate, and the agreement observed together with the resolution of disagreements is reported in every review.
The treatment of imprecision does not work where the event did not occur
The imprecision rules in the draft operate on the width of an interval. For a harm observed zero times, there is no interval of the kind the rules assume, and the draft gives no instruction.
The respondent proposes that the rule for a zero-event outcome be stated explicitly and that it produce a rating reflecting what the exposure could have detected.
The secretariat accepts this submission. The gap would have been filled by ad hoc judgement, which is what a framework exists to prevent.
The framework now states the rule for zero-event outcomes: the rating is determined by the total exposure and the frequency that exposure could have detected, and the resulting statement records that the evidence is uninformative rather than reassuring.
Point estimates are given without an interval
Several estimates in the draft appear as single figures. The respondent states that a point estimate without an interval invites a precision the underlying data do not support, and that the effect is worst where the estimate is drawn from a small contributing set.
The respondent proposes that no point estimate appear anywhere in the document set without its interval, including in summary tables and in the abstract.
The secretariat accepts this submission in part. Intervals are added wherever the source reports one. The proposal is declined for figures the source published without an interval, because the Institute will not compute an interval a source did not report.
Every estimate now carries its interval where the source reported one, and where it did not, the estimate is annotated as reported without an interval rather than left to appear as a precise figure.
Two factual descriptions of the sponsor's programme are inaccurate
The submission is made on behalf of the marketing-authorisation holder and is confined to two matters of fact. The draft describes a trial as terminated where the sponsor closed it at a pre-specified interim analysis, and gives a dose in a unit that does not match the approved labelling.
Supporting documentation, comprising the published trial report and the current summary of product characteristics, accompanied the submission. No view is expressed on the certainty ratings, which the sponsor considers a matter for the assessment committee.
The secretariat accepts this submission. Both points are matters of fact, both were checkable against documents the Institute holds, and both were wrong in the draft.
The trial status now reads as completed at a pre-specified interim analysis, with the analysis identified, and the dose is stated in the unit used in the approved labelling. The submission is identified as an industry submission on its face in accordance with the conflicts policy.
A sortable table implies a comparison the underlying data do not support
The draft presents a sortable table whose columns are drawn from sources of differing quality. The respondent states that sorting on such a column produces an ordering that looks like a ranking and is not one.
The respondent proposes that sorting be disabled on any column whose values are not commensurable.
The secretariat notes this submission and records that the point is correct in principle.
No amendment arises here because every sortable table in the document set already carries a standing statement above it that the ordering is not a ranking and that the values in each column are commensurable only where the column header says so. The proposal to disable sorting was considered and not adopted, because a reader who cannot sort a table generally sorts it elsewhere and without the statement.
Declared interests should appear on the document rather than on a separate page
The draft links to a central conflicts register. The respondent argues that a reader assessing whether to rely on a particular document should not have to leave it to find out who assessed it and what they declared.
The respondent proposes that the interests of every named contributor to a document be printed on that document.
The secretariat notes this submission and records that the draft already provides for it, which the respondent could reasonably have missed because the provision sits in an appendix.
Every document carries the declared interests of its named contributors in its front matter, and the central register exists so that a reader can see a person across all documents rather than one at a time. No amendment arises; the provision has been moved from the appendix into the body of the methodology document so that it is findable.
Quantitative claims are reproduced without the method that produced them
Several figures in the draft are quoted from sources that determined them by different methods. A figure obtained by one determination and a figure obtained by another are not comparable, and the draft places them in the same sentence without distinguishing them.
The respondent, an analytical chemist, proposes that every quantitative claim carry the method that produced it at the point of use rather than in the reference.
The secretariat accepts this submission. Placing two figures side by side is an implicit claim that they are the same kind of quantity, and in the cases identified they were not.
Every quantitative claim now carries the determination that produced it at the point of use, and figures obtained by non-comparable methods are no longer presented in the same row or sentence.
Quantitative claims are reproduced without the method that produced them
Several figures in the draft are quoted from sources that determined them by different methods. A figure obtained by one determination and a figure obtained by another are not comparable, and the draft places them in the same sentence without distinguishing them.
The respondent, an analytical chemist, proposes that every quantitative claim carry the method that produced it at the point of use rather than in the reference.
The secretariat accepts this submission. Placing two figures side by side is an implicit claim that they are the same kind of quantity, and in the cases identified they were not.
Every quantitative claim now carries the determination that produced it at the point of use, and figures obtained by non-comparable methods are no longer presented in the same row or sentence.
The conditions for upgrading observational evidence are too permissive
The respondent states that the draft permits an upgrade for a large effect without requiring that confounding of the magnitude needed to produce it be shown to be implausible.
The respondent proposes that upgrading be removed from the framework entirely.
The secretariat accepts this submission in part. The conditions are tightened. Upgrading is retained, because a framework that cannot recognise a strong observational signal will misrate the cases where randomisation is not available.
An upgrade for a large effect now requires an explicit statement of the confounding structure that would be needed to produce the observed effect and a reason for regarding it as implausible, and the statement is published with the rating.
References cited on this page
References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.
- International Organization for Standardization. ISO/IEC 17025:2017 General Requirements for the Competence of Testing and Calibration Laboratories. ISO/IEC Standard 2017;3rd edition. identifier not held by the Institute
Identifiers are reproduced only where the Institute holds them. Where a digital object identifier or PubMed identifier is not shown, the Institute has recorded the journal and year and has not constructed an identifier.