Independent · non-commercial · publishes on a quarterly cycle|Current cycle 2026 Q3
Compound Evidence InstituteEvidence synthesis · established 2023Graded assessments of compounds, trials, methods and supply
Document set current to 30 July 2026
Public comment period · §2

Draft synthesis: Dual and triple incretin receptor agonists… — submissions

The 7 submissions received, published in full with declared interests and secretariat responses.

Document identifier
CEI-CP-098/2
Series
Public comment period
Version
1.0
Published
23 Mar 2026
Last reviewed
23 Mar 2026
Next review
23 Mar 2027
Identifier
10.71829/cei.cp.98
Certainty
Not rated
Cycle
2026 Q1
Window
30 Jan 2026 – 13 Mar 2026
Status
Closed
Submissions
7

§2Submissions and responses

7 submissions were received. Each is published in full below with its declared interest, the secretariat response and the disposition. The Institute publishes submissions it did not accept in the same form as those it did.

Ludmila Brackenridge, PharmD, PhD University teaching hospital, department of endocrinology
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/004 received 31 Jan 2026

Absence of evidence is presented in a form a reader will take as negative evidence

Where the Institute has identified no study, the draft states that no evidence was found. In several places that sentence sits immediately after a paragraph describing an adverse outcome, and the juxtaposition invites the reading that the compound was studied and found wanting.

The respondent proposes a standing formulation, used identically wherever the situation arises, distinguishing an outcome that was studied and not demonstrated from an outcome that has not been studied at all.

Declared interest. Employed by a national competent authority. This submission is made in a personal capacity and does not represent the position of that authority.
Secretariat responseAccepted27 Mar 2026

The secretariat accepts this submission. The two states are different, they support different decisions, and the draft rendered them in language a reader could not reliably separate.

A standing formulation has been adopted and is applied wherever an evidence gap is recorded, distinguishing an outcome assessed and not demonstrated from an outcome not assessed. The formulation is identical at every occurrence so that it can be recognised at a glance.

Dr Fenella Lavrentiev, PhD (Toxicology) Health-technology assessment agency
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/003 received 04 Feb 2026

The same concept is given three different names in one document

The draft refers to the same quantity as a response rate, a responder proportion and a categorical outcome in different sections. The respondent, who works in health-technology assessment, states that a reader cannot tell whether the three refer to one thing or to three.

The respondent proposes that the glossary term be used at every occurrence and that the glossary entry be linked at first use in each section rather than only at first use in the document.

Declared interest. No financial interest. Has published a systematic review reaching a different conclusion from the draft, which the respondent declares as a non-financial interest.
Secretariat responseAccepted08 Apr 2026

The secretariat accepts this submission. The variation was stylistic and its cost to the reader exceeds any benefit.

A single term is now used throughout for each defined concept, and the glossary entry is linked at first use within each section rather than once per document.

Dr Hamish Nyquist-Obiora, MD, FRCPath Academic biostatistics group
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/005 received 13 Feb 2026

Doses differing several-fold are pooled without examining dose-response

Contributing trials administer doses that differ by a factor of several. The draft pools them and reports one estimate. The respondent states that where a dose-response relationship exists the pooled figure corresponds to no dose that anyone receives.

The respondent proposes that estimates be reported by dose and that dose-response be examined where the data allow.

Declared interest. Is an employee of a marketing-authorisation holder for a compound named in the draft. This submission is made on behalf of that company and is identified as an industry submission throughout.
Secretariat responseAccepted02 Apr 2026

The secretariat accepts this submission. A pooled estimate across doses is an estimate for an average dose that no protocol specifies.

Estimates are now reported by dose group, a dose-response examination is reported where three or more dose levels contribute, and the pooled across-dose estimate is removed rather than retained alongside.

Dr Marisol Dunmore-Ekpo, PhD (Medicinal Chemistry) University department of public health
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/006 received 20 Feb 2026

The document should state what a reader ought to do

The draft assesses evidence and stops. The respondent, a practising clinician, states that a reader arriving at the document with a decision to make is left to convert an assessment into an action without help, and proposes that each document close with a recommendation.

The respondent argues that other evidence bodies issue recommendations and that declining to do so transfers the difficult part of the work to the reader.

Declared interest. Has used a compound in the class under assessment under prescription. Declared at the Institute's request; the Institute regards a lived-experience declaration as an interest and not as a disqualification.
Secretariat responseNot accepted24 Mar 2026

The secretariat does not accept this submission, and records that the point is a reasonable one rather than a misunderstanding.

The Institute assesses evidence and does not issue recommendations, because a recommendation embeds values and a resource context that the Institute does not hold and cannot state. That constitutional limit is published on the methodology page and is not varied by consultation. The submission remains published in full.

Dr Frideswide Nordhagen, PharmD, PhD University teaching hospital, department of endocrinology
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/007 received 22 Feb 2026

The review question is drawn too broadly to be answerable

The respondent states that the population as registered spans groups in which the intervention would be expected to behave differently, and that a single estimate across them is uninformative.

The respondent proposes that the question be split and the review re-registered.

Declared interest. Is a member of the Institute's external reviewer register but did not review the document under consultation.
Secretariat responseNot accepted08 Apr 2026

The secretariat does not accept this submission. The breadth was registered before screening, the pre-specified subgroups address the variation the respondent identifies, and re-registering after the results are known would convert a pre-specified analysis into a post hoc one.

The question stands as registered. The point is recorded in the limitations, and the assessment committee has noted it for the protocol of the next version of this review, which will be registered before the search is run. The submission remains published in full.

Dr Wilhelmina Wintringham, PhD (Pharmacology) Hospital microbiology and endotoxin testing service
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/002 received 07 Mar 2026

Efficacy outcomes are rated for certainty and harms are not

The draft assigns certainty ratings to the efficacy outcomes and reports harms narratively without ratings. The respondent states that the asymmetry implies harms are less amenable to assessment when they are simply less well measured.

The respondent proposes that harms carry certainty ratings on the same scale, with the reasons for downgrading stated.

Declared interest. Is a trustee of a patient organisation that has received a restricted educational grant from a manufacturer in the class under assessment.
Secretariat responseAccepted19 Mar 2026

The secretariat accepts this submission. Rating one side of the balance and not the other produces a document that cannot be used to weigh them.

Every reported harm now carries a certainty rating on the same scale as the efficacy outcomes, with the downgrade reasons stated, and discontinuation for adverse events appears in the summary of findings rather than in an annex.

Dr Matthias Whitmarsh-Obi, MD, DPhil Metabolic medicine service, tertiary centre
DRAFT-DUAL-VS-SING/001 received 09 Mar 2026

The review does not say when it will be updated or what would trigger an update

The respondent states that a synthesis in a field where trials report frequently is out of date from the day it is published, and that a reader has no way to know whether the version in front of them is current.

The respondent proposes a stated trigger for an update as well as a scheduled review date.

Declared interest. Holds a patent relating to a delivery technology referenced in the draft.
Secretariat responseAccepted23 Mar 2026

The secretariat accepts this submission. A review date alone tells a reader when the document will be looked at, not whether it should already have been.

Every synthesis now records a scheduled review date and a stated update trigger, being the reporting of a trial that would materially change the contributing evidence, and the registered trials capable of triggering an update are listed by name.

References cited on this page

References are numbered in order of first citation in this document. Each superscript in the text links to its entry below.

  1. International Organization for Standardization. ISO/IEC 17025:2017 General Requirements for the Competence of Testing and Calibration Laboratories. ISO/IEC Standard 2017;3rd edition. identifier not held by the Institute

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